0xc69ce2a1842658e4221a4a33702a3b0880532463
0xc69ce2a1842658e4221a4a33702a3b0880532463
- Realised P&L
- $-6.80
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $81.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.695 | $20.44 | +$0.44 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.455 | $19.36 | −$0.64 |
| Porto 2: Mili Poljicak vs Henrique Rocha · Henrique Rocha | 0.760 | 1.000 | $13.16 | +$3.16 |
| Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.265 | $8.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.265 | $4.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.125 | $4.81 | −$0.19 |
| Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.025 | $4.72 | −$0.28 |
| Besiktas vs. Barcelona · Barcelona | 0.490 | 0.455 | $4.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Syria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.004 | $0.13 | −$4.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.55at 0.122Will Peru win on 2026-09-29?
- +$17.48at 0.365Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$12.14at 0.449Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$11.70at 0.553Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?
- +$9.27at 0.667Will Miami FC win on 2026-09-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:28 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $4.00 |
| 10-01 12:26 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:25 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999932 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 12:25 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | SELL | 0.13 | $18.57 |
| 10-01 12:08 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 12:06 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 12:05 | Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 12:04 | Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-01 12:02 | Besiktas vs. Barcelona | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 12:00 | Will Kenya win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1299999982 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0269999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 11:59 | Will Syria win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 11:56 | Porto 2: Mili Poljicak vs Henrique Rocha | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 01:18 | Will Miami FC win on 2026-09-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.71 |
| 09-30 23:04 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $7.00 |