PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dontscry

0xc68f2fa39fc4ab06a82f084825b6f29cbffd85ad

Realised P&L
$-262.01
Volume
$214.9k
Markets traded
71
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded71
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9230.963$962.75+$39.13
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.8600.987$205.53+$26.36
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4800.405$202.50$37.50
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027? · Yes0.8020.775$127.96$4.39
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.6200.555$92.63$10.85
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.9600.986$32.52+$0.84
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.8750.859$25.67$0.49
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.992$11.90+$0.50
Will Google (GOOGL) hit $335 before 2026?? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$102.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 10:44Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.48$240.00
09-12 10:44Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?SELL0.9708888889$436.90
09-12 10:44Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.95$18.05
09-12 10:43Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.7494$56.20
08-27 09:032026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.11$176.00
08-27 09:032026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.37$592.00
08-27 09:032026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.48$768.00
08-27 09:02Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2027?BUY0.846$76.14
08-27 09:01Concrete FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.85$16.15
08-27 08:55Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.7$126.00
08-13 14:352026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.12$192.00
08-13 14:352026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.38$608.00
08-13 14:352026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$800.00
08-13 14:32Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.62$103.48
08-13 14:32Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.875$26.16