PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Curmefb

0xc68bde9eff58b6bd10f874b69d6319e21c7310e8

Realised P&L
$-78.41
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$23.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4800.475$23.94−$0.25
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$12.45
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A · G20.7000.000$0.00−$14.00
Will Burgos CF win on 2026-05-31? · No0.3700.000$0.00−$19.83
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic · Nuno Borges0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winner · TEAM VISION0.6100.000$0.00−$31.64
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B · BetBoom Team0.7200.000$0.00−$15.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:02Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.997$10.49
10-20 08:01Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5BUY0.48$4.99
10-20 08:01Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.997$31.47
10-20 08:01Celtic FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5BUY0.48$19.20
10-20 08:00Will Lens win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.998$42.00
09-08 02:42Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group ABUY0.7$14.00
08-21 11:34Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$14.97
08-21 11:34Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 WinnerBUY0.61$31.64
08-21 11:31Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.001$0.01
08-08 03:17Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-08-08?BUY0.63$18.89
07-24 02:54Will Orlando Pride win on 2026-07-24?BUY0.65$17.55
07-01 08:17Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.007$0.24
07-01 08:17Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?BUY0.53$12.46
07-01 08:15Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.992$34.72
06-11 09:20Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin CilicBUY0.5$20.00