0xc68ABD0329B4aB2Bf1e3dBD2033d05EAbeE58CDe-1767537973287
0xc68abd0329b4ab2bf1e3dbd2033d05eabee58cde
- Realised P&L
- $-133.64
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $79.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.065 | $37.03 | −$62.97 |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.261 | 0.065 | $24.92 | −$75.08 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.040 | $17.17 | −$82.83 |
| Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$151.69at 0.310Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$52.68at 0.659Will England win on 2026-07-15?
- +$40.58at 0.594Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 15:46 | Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3 | $66.00 |
| 07-15 14:26 | Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.66 | $66.00 |
| 07-15 14:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.582 | $58.20 |
| 07-15 11:51 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6474999996 | $100.00 |
| 01-25 06:49 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2608852003 | $100.00 |
| 01-24 18:04 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1755222505 | $100.00 |
| 01-20 08:43 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.5295245187 | $97.00 |
| 01-19 08:09 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |