PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc68ABD0329B4aB2Bf1e3dBD2033d05EAbeE58CDe-1767537973287

0xc68abd0329b4ab2bf1e3dbd2033d05eabee58cde

Realised P&L
$-133.64
Volume
$2.1k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$79.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1750.065$37.03$62.97
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2610.065$24.92$75.08
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.040$17.17$82.83
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6600.000$0.00$66.00
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yes0.5290.000$0.00$97.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 15:46Will Argentina finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3$66.00
07-15 14:26Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.66$66.00
07-15 14:23Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.582$58.20
07-15 11:51Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.6474999996$100.00
01-25 06:49China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2608852003$100.00
01-24 18:04China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?BUY0.1755222505$100.00
01-20 08:43Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?BUY0.5295245187$97.00
01-19 08:09Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2299999986$100.00