0xc68a8a00d4fcc389ec9a3baf828fbbee19e265a7
0xc68a8a00d4fcc389ec9a3baf828fbbee19e265a7
- Realised P&L
- $9.92
- Volume
- $430.14
- Markets traded
- 135
- Open portfolio
- $5.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded135
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.305 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.225 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No | 0.680 | 0.665 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.690 | 0.670 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? · No | 0.600 | 0.560 | $0.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.605 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? · Down | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.18at 0.247Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $188 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$7.16at 0.249Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$5.49at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$4.19at 0.359Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.379Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $65 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 20:10 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:08 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 12:02 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:59 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:58 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:05 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:54 | Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 14:19 | SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 11:49 | Will Guandong GZ-Power FC win on 2026-10-07? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 07:57 | Wingate & Finchley FC vs. Bedford Town FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 13:18 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:09 | Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:40 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |