Pt999
0xc6845cb4c9d66f46a8af61d57d34367c5d471422
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $176.6k
- Markets traded
- 488
- Open portfolio
- $127.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded488
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? · Up | 0.824 | 0.895 | $84.13 | +$6.66 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.865 | $43.26 | +$3.25 |
| Wuning 3: Naoya Honda vs Kristjan Tamm · Naoya Honda | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$207.47at 0.683Warriors vs. Nuggets
- +$179.91at 0.780Knicks vs. Thunder
- +$155.07at 0.768Solana Up or Down - January 6, 9PM ET
- +$111.50at 0.768Suns vs. Grizzlies
- +$99.86at 0.831Bulls vs. Thunder
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.78 | $8.58 |
| 10-04 08:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 4? | BUY | 0.83 | $68.89 |
| 10-04 08:02 | Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa | SELL | 0.71 | $25.16 |
| 10-04 07:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 10-04 07:11 | Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa | BUY | 0.7899999998 | $69.63 |
| 10-04 07:09 | Wuning 3: Blake Bayldon vs Taisei Ichikawa | BUY | 0.8499999986 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 4, 2AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 10-04 06:31 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider | SELL | 0.56 | $38.98 |
| 10-04 06:26 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider | SELL | 0.58 | $40.37 |
| 10-04 06:18 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider | BUY | 0.5 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:14 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $30.00 |
| 10-04 06:01 | China Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Diana Shnaider | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 10-04 05:48 | China Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva | SELL | 0.96 | $122.28 |
| 10-04 05:21 | China Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.8399999952 | $7.00 |
| 10-04 05:21 | China Open: Polina Kudermetova vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |