0x918cbAf2380d6d1bDe02A9aDa9E5f4aDDA959Cb4-1765557009554
0xc67a484fa27ad6566af1f99f3ca8bbf41fb9683a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.32
- Volume
- $374.72
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? · No | 0.060 | 0.084 | $1.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.053 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.17at 0.327Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15?
- +$1.05at 0.202Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15?
- +$0.10at 0.953Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$-1.04at 0.343Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$-1.05at 0.325Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 07:43 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0603960361 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:41 | Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia? | BUY | 0.058695952 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 07:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 20:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.33 | $3.13 |
| 10-15 11:57 | Exact Score: FC Red Bull Salzburg 2 - 0 AC Milan? | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:56 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 10:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.1899999842 | $1.80 |
| 10-15 10:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down on October 15? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 15:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 15:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 15:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 15:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 14:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |