0xC67A1856815714dEa4482fdEf9C3180D38159B98-1768415108237
0xc67a1856815714dea4482fdef9c3180d38159b98
- Realised P&L
- $-644.40
- Volume
- $42.2k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $797.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.154 | $683.57 | +$591.43 |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title · Yes | 0.200 | 1.000 | $113.65 | +$90.92 |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$329.99 |
| Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.71 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes | 0.204 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$579.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$347.13at 0.525Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?
- +$341.35at 0.300US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?
- +$319.00at 0.202US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$230.00at 0.490US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
- +$34.05at 0.887Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 20:55 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0226012664 | $32.19 |
| 03-11 03:00 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.25 | $75.00 |
| 03-09 22:18 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.2396056 | $119.80 |
| 03-09 22:13 | Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.29 |
| 03-07 12:32 | Will Korea win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.0112160993 | $8.95 |
| 03-07 02:56 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0311932921 | $37.81 |
| 03-07 02:56 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.05 | $48.55 |
| 03-07 02:55 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.4 | $460.60 |
| 03-07 02:54 | Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.2371282042 | $130.62 |
| 03-04 00:27 | EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.27 | $615.85 |
| 02-17 18:04 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.066 | $18.08 |
| 02-16 14:16 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.024 | $24.00 |
| 02-13 16:58 | EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0486556604 | $10.32 |
| 02-13 16:57 | EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 02-13 16:57 | EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $156.00 |