mcdownload2
0xc6700fb379d24f4166f50cb2608dc26a01b9556c
- Realised P&L
- $36.13
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $8.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$199.84at 0.105Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?
- +$71.66at 0.038Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?
- +$59.03at 0.201Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 21?
- +$50.61at 0.355Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22?
- +$42.51at 0.315Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.33 |
| 09-22 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.87 |
| 09-22 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 09-22 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.98 |
| 09-22 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $44.23 |
| 09-22 10:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.98 | $80.09 |
| 09-22 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0061938424 | $0.36 |
| 09-22 07:39 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.0164228128 | $0.55 |
| 09-22 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.39 |
| 09-22 06:59 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.27 |
| 09-22 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.08 |
| 09-22 06:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.17 |
| 09-22 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.15 |
| 09-22 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.42 |
| 09-22 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.52 |