jaipur
0xc66bea8de4d99d8eae756df826d6433dcd4846be
- Realised P&L
- $35.72
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.52at 0.800Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 7?
- +$10.92at 0.880Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026?
- +$4.40at 0.842Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4?
- +$3.69at 0.920Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 7?
- +$2.80at 0.970Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.52 | $72.80 |
| 08-08 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.2865821429 | $40.12 |
| 08-08 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.5203571429 | $72.85 |
| 08-08 00:11 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.36 | $50.40 |
| 08-06 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.1628225 | $6.51 |
| 08-05 15:43 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.89 |
| 08-05 15:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.81 | $34.43 |
| 08-05 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.89 | $13.59 |
| 08-04 12:40 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.121 | $2.42 |
| 08-04 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.80 |
| 08-03 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 05-11 02:29 | Will Donald Trump dance on May 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $24.73 |
| 05-11 01:57 | Will Donald Trump dance on May 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $80.08 |
| 01-31 11:03 | US government shutdown Saturday? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 01-31 11:02 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |