jaipur
0xc66bea8de4d99d8eae756df826d6433dcd4846be
- Realised P&L
- $-319.04
- Volume
- $56.2k
- Markets traded
- 306
- Open portfolio
- $46.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded306
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.945 | $46.07 | +$39.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.98at 0.845Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?
- +$81.48at 0.163Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 3?
- +$77.10at 0.897Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 29?
- +$73.29at 0.072Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 15?
- +$55.91at 0.898Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:31 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.64 | $0.23 |
| 09-28 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.57 |
| 09-27 14:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.44 |
| 09-27 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.32 |
| 09-27 13:50 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 27? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-27 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.61 | $4.88 |
| 09-26 11:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.30 |
| 09-26 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 09-25 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-25 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.80 |
| 09-25 12:46 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | SELL | 0.86 | $19.78 |
| 09-25 12:06 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.84 | $19.32 |
| 09-25 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.01 |
| 09-23 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.32 |
| 09-23 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9 | $22.50 |