quals88
0xc6693a8427c94af8e4f50daeba242a8db0d9a872
- Realised P&L
- $-5.19
- Volume
- $178.24
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $11.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 8? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.175 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.205 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.165 | $1.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.295 | $1.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.255 | $1.59 | −$0.41 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.175 | $1.35 | −$0.65 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 10? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.180 | $1.09 | −$0.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 7? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 7? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-1.07at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.33 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.18 | $2.00 |
| 10-08 05:49 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 13:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.26 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.17 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 23:21 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.04 |
| 10-06 19:58 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.00 |
| 10-06 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |