WWDC
0xc668530ed5c50cbe964a5f36cf8fbb8da8da4f06
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $1.24M
- Markets traded
- 1,934
- Open portfolio
- $232.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,934
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Corbin Carroll hit the most triples in the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes | 0.579 | 0.982 | $127.59 | +$52.30 |
| Will Kansas City Royals win the 2026 AL Central title? · No | 0.930 | 1.000 | $100.00 | +$7.00 |
| Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.060 | $4.50 | −$45.75 |
| Spurs vs. Knicks · Spurs | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$880.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.076Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?
- +$2.4kat 0.747Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$2.2kat 0.727Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$2.1kat 0.709Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$1.7kat 0.743New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 01:50 | Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title? | SELL | 0.16585 | $33.17 |
| 06-11 05:01 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.026 | $26.00 |
| 06-11 02:39 | Spurs vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.92 | $420.44 |
| 06-10 15:05 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.051 | $51.00 |
| 06-10 15:03 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.94 | $1.0k |
| 06-09 14:43 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.94 | $502.90 |
| 06-09 13:34 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.93 | $530.10 |
| 06-09 10:52 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.96 | $105.60 |
| 06-09 09:59 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.95 | $104.50 |
| 06-09 06:58 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 06-08 18:22 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.83 | $207.50 |
| 06-08 11:15 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.78 | $505.84 |
| 06-08 05:29 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.73 | $58.40 |
| 06-08 03:07 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $295.63 |
| 06-08 03:07 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.4500523406 | $62.68 |