0xc661f60d4EA4A631dc3c020Abf6e0C03BF90D88A-1757963546711
0xc661f60d4ea4a631dc3c020abf6e0c03bf90d88a
- Realised P&L
- $-624.50
- Volume
- $104.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration92.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.407 | 0.542 | $1.9k | +$484.92 |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.001 | $18.51 | −$578.80 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.562 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$958.57 |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.168Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$84.54at 0.440Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$20.17at 0.962Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 14:29 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3974704668 | $261.90 |
| 09-02 14:01 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.393 | $30.80 |
| 09-01 14:54 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.6k |
| 08-27 20:11 | Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.5k |
| 08-05 17:58 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0027016425 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 19:35 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5619999604 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 19:35 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5619999604 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 22:07 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.0k |
| 06-26 12:09 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.0295784654 | $547.35 |
| 06-25 13:40 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0549999909 | $6.00 |
| 06-25 13:38 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0549999999 | $952.57 |
| 05-12 18:30 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1639999995 | $262.73 |
| 04-24 17:30 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.64 | $270.54 |
| 11-06 18:27 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4399999994 | $186.00 |