BoggsFromShawshank
0xc660ae71765d0d9eaf5fa8328c1c959841d2bd28
- Realised P&L
- $32.7k
- Volume
- $76.37M
- Markets traded
- 2,298
- Open portfolio
- $380.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,298
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona State (-20.5) · Arizona State | 0.510 | 0.210 | $362.74 | −$518.21 |
| Spread: Boise State (-7.5) · Fresno State | 0.460 | 0.575 | $17.54 | +$3.51 |
| Kings vs. Celtics · Kings | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.9k |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-03-31? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.0k |
| Spread: Heat (-7.5) · Heat | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.0k |
| Spread: Lakers (-3.5) · Lakers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.1k |
| Seahawks vs. 49ers · 49ers | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.0k |
| Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.48 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.02 |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-10.5) · Northern Iowa Panthers | 0.492 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.01 |
| Spread: Celtics (-9.5) · 76ers | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.86 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.4k |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.7k |
| UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) · Maycee Barber | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.0k |
| Hurricanes vs. Islanders · Islanders | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$568.1kat 0.350Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
- +$302.7kat 0.390Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?
- +$157.8kat 0.615Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$144.3kat 0.599Timberwolves vs. Rockets
- +$141.1kat 0.601Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 13:55 | Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-08-15? | BUY | 0.59 | $7.6k |
| 06-14 03:51 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.3k |
| 05-30 16:35 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.7k |
| 04-16 01:26 | New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.63 | $1.0k |
| 04-16 01:14 | Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $9.7k |
| 04-15 23:40 | Magic vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.49 | $9.7k |
| 04-15 23:31 | Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $25.25 |
| 04-15 23:30 | Magic vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.5 | $9.7k |
| 04-15 23:15 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4 | $1.7k |
| 04-15 22:34 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.4 | $3.5k |
| 04-15 17:52 | Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.44 | $4.0k |
| 04-15 01:37 | Spread: Suns (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $5.6k |
| 04-15 00:05 | Trail Blazers vs. Suns | BUY | 0.58 | $16.9k |
| 04-14 23:33 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.53 | $1.2k |
| 04-14 23:01 | Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | BUY | 0.58 | $2.4k |