0xA4D9e3B72F6c18a
0xc65b718567cf199c3c06af928fba6d336302bbf3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $125.0k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $217.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.728Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
- +$839.72at 0.621Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$702.86at 0.014Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$157.60at 0.067Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$105.63at 0.519US government shutdown Saturday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-26 19:25 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | SELL | 0.958 | $2.4k |
| 05-21 00:01 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.6999999767 | $6.00 |
| 05-13 20:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0380000001 | $15.00 |
| 05-12 04:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5640492672 | $10.00 |
| 05-12 04:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET | BUY | 0.1590457256 | $25.00 |
| 05-12 04:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 05-05 19:46 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.65 | $195.00 |
| 03-20 04:34 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.0k |
| 03-20 02:50 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $26.67 |
| 03-20 02:47 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $677.62 |
| 03-16 20:04 | Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 03-16 17:12 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | BUY | 0.896 | $6.72 |
| 03-16 17:10 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 03-10 03:59 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $71.00 |
| 03-07 04:46 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |