PolyBot

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Traders

0xA4D9e3B72F6c18a

0xc65b718567cf199c3c06af928fba6d336302bbf3

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$125.0k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$217.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration61.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample27 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1000.215$107.50+$57.50
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$101.92+$1.92
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.7001.000$8.57+$2.57
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$2.67
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by 15% or more? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5? · Yes0.6070.000$0.00$273.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$15.00
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2260.000$0.00$1.7k
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 10% and 15.00%? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$52.27
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? · Yes0.3770.000$0.00$100.00
Brown University shooter arrested by December 19? · Yes0.3060.000$0.00$222.40
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$100.00
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February 2026? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$9.58
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00$4.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-26 19:25Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL0.958$2.4k
05-21 00:01Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.6999999767$6.00
05-13 20:19Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0380000001$15.00
05-12 04:34Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETBUY0.5640492672$10.00
05-12 04:26Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ETBUY0.1590457256$25.00
05-12 04:22Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ETBUY0.5699999991$100.00
05-05 19:46Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 5?BUY0.65$195.00
03-20 04:34US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.23$1.0k
03-20 02:50US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.22$26.67
03-20 02:47US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.22$677.62
03-16 20:04Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.08$1.00
03-16 17:12Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?BUY0.896$6.72
03-16 17:10Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.93$4.65
03-10 03:59US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.71$71.00
03-07 04:46US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.61$61.00