0xc65b010b80e5fa7a6afa4c154d5df6411be8b345
- Realised P&L
- $-121.38
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $98.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? · Yes | 0.063 | 0.038 | $41.86 | −$26.62 |
| AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.030 | $28.65 | −$37.10 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.092 | $28.04 | −$7.12 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$140.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.98at 0.472Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 07:54 | NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors? | BUY | 0.0629791787 | $68.48 |
| 07-24 14:10 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.473 | $122.70 |
| 07-23 11:05 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1159999972 | $35.16 |
| 07-23 11:03 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4719999992 | $122.44 |
| 07-22 09:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0292870536 | $140.52 |
| 07-22 09:51 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.5 | $152.94 |
| 07-06 22:17 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2066858155 | $63.22 |
| 06-19 01:24 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999999 | $65.75 |