PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xC652B37b021eb64Eb95fE7dB0B1D4561bF5a11B1-1748123995820

0xc652b37b021eb64eb95fe7db0b1d4561bf5a11b1

Realised P&L
$616.78
Volume
$57.8k
Markets traded
197
Open portfolio
$44.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded197
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.6670.161$24.07$75.97
AI bubble burst in 2026? · Yes0.4500.097$9.70$35.30
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? · Yes0.3200.055$5.50$26.50
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4400.065$5.20$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 13:44Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.65$130.00
07-29 19:31Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$299.70
07-25 18:40Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.758$227.40
07-08 08:14Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.997$4.53
04-13 06:45Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.989$148.35
04-08 14:57Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.66$99.00
03-14 15:53Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?BUY0.13$19.50
03-09 07:22Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?BUY0.54$4.14
03-09 07:21Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?BUY0.54$4.40
03-08 23:52Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?SELL0.981$97.05
03-08 21:45Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.667$100.05
03-08 21:44Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL0.996$49.80
03-05 21:42Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?BUY0.002$4.00
03-03 20:46Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.841$42.05
03-03 20:45Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.8518953553$15.22