PolyBot

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Traders

0xc6528b95facc816f87a85b6acd43b5a743387fe2

0xc6528b95facc816f87a85b6acd43b5a743387fe2

Realised P&L
$136.24
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$28.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.6010.380$18.97−$11.03
Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · Yes0.6100.600$9.84−$0.16
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:34Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4799999962$20.00
09-11 13:32Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16?BUY0.609999986$10.00
09-05 08:36Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.5499999807$10.00
09-03 12:13Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-20 08:59Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?BUY0.6299999915$20.00
07-15 01:15Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.31$18.23
07-12 23:15Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.342$8.91
07-12 23:14Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.214$6.77
07-12 23:14Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.182$4.92
07-08 02:18Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1579999765$5.00
07-08 02:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999632$5.00
07-08 02:05Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3839999862$10.00
07-07 23:46Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.384$16.43
07-04 02:42Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.04$3.08
06-17 02:54Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2337382007$10.00