0xc6528b95facc816f87a85b6acd43b5a743387fe2
0xc6528b95facc816f87a85b6acd43b5a743387fe2
- Realised P&L
- $136.24
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $28.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · Yes | 0.601 | 0.380 | $18.97 | −$11.03 |
| Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.600 | $9.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$94.92at 0.445Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
- +$68.35at 0.170Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?
- +$15.88at 0.340Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
- +$10.18at 0.100Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$7.50at 0.400Djokovic vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:34 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $20.00 |
| 09-11 13:32 | Will Manchester United reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-05 08:36 | Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 12:13 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 08:59 | Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.6299999915 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 01:15 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.31 | $18.23 |
| 07-12 23:15 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.342 | $8.91 |
| 07-12 23:14 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.214 | $6.77 |
| 07-12 23:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.182 | $4.92 |
| 07-08 02:18 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1579999765 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 02:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1849999632 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 02:05 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3839999862 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 23:46 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.384 | $16.43 |
| 07-04 02:42 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.04 | $3.08 |
| 06-17 02:54 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2337382007 | $10.00 |