ML8888
0xc651fa19c8450d0f7ec743d62c90799fd4a8895b
- Realised P&L
- $-146.63
- Volume
- $32.0k
- Markets traded
- 254
- Open portfolio
- $10.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded254
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.77at 0.210England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$18.63at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11AM ET
- +$15.34at 0.200Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?
- +$14.36at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
- +$13.31at 0.090Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:13 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.10 |
| 08-04 16:11 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.65 |
| 08-04 16:08 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.39 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.35 |
| 08-04 12:56 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.0042522069 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.90 |
| 08-04 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.79 | $20.54 |
| 08-04 11:53 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.018 | $0.09 |
| 08-04 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.02 |
| 08-04 11:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.068 | $1.22 |
| 08-04 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $11.99 |
| 08-04 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.80 |
| 08-04 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $7.98 |
| 08-04 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 10:58 | Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.98 | $4.90 |