ML-
0xc651fa19c8450d0f7ec743d62c90799fd4a8895b
- Realised P&L
- $-311.62
- Volume
- $58.9k
- Markets traded
- 458
- Open portfolio
- $0.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded458
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$116.65at 0.108Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?
- +$92.73at 0.320Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?
- +$56.95at 0.040Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17?
- +$47.23at 0.141Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 20?
- +$20.86at 0.243Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.24 |
| 09-30 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.02 |
| 09-26 14:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-26 09:47 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.41 |
| 09-26 05:57 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.73 |
| 09-26 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.77 | $6.95 |
| 09-20 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.50 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1755207094 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.2253833333 | $2.70 |
| 09-19 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.04 | $4.00 |
| 09-18 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 09-18 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 09-16 15:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.25 |
| 09-13 14:35 | Will Levante UD vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.62 |
| 09-12 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 12? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.23 |