PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4A1b05F9d7d035C9587377D400CF1f300C773bc3-1775090755644

0xc650f24b813a91ccd947b54c01a09d7c6cfab5c2

Realised P&L
$-278.29
Volume
$37.2k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$40.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18? · Yes0.6100.490$40.27−$9.86
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$26.62
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10? · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? · No0.6400.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET · Down0.0600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.0170.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Down0.0820.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.0490.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.1700.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Down0.7500.000$0.00−$4.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 07:46Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?BUY0.609999999$50.13
10-11 16:13Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?SELL0.9592190101$65.70
10-10 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETSELL0.95$5.81
10-10 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ETBUY0.4899999984$3.00
10-10 15:57Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 October 5-11?BUY0.7299999966$50.00
10-10 15:40Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?BUY0.0196390731$20.00
10-10 15:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.15$3.00
10-10 15:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSELL0.8$31.17
10-10 15:30Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETBUY0.7699999992$30.00
10-10 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETBUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-10 12:25Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ETBUY0.1699999983$10.00
10-10 01:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETSELL0.66$13.46
10-10 01:06Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.4899999824$10.00
10-10 01:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETSELL0.23$8.52
10-10 01:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ETBUY0.269999993$10.00