PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

belissimo

0xc64f8d989a7811f07bb372a7f1ed888ebe88a5d6

Realised P&L
$-2.94
Volume
$331.71
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$15.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9760.965$5.19−$0.06
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · Yes0.9570.966$5.14+$0.05
Stripe IPO before 2027? · No0.9710.958$4.90−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 17:31Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.963$5.34
10-26 00:58Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?BUY0.967$4.90
10-13 01:52Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.957$5.43
10-06 00:01Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?BUY0.965$4.86
09-17 20:38Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.96$5.53
09-14 22:31Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.979$5.14
09-12 23:47Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.963$5.31
09-12 23:47Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.946$3.38
08-31 16:20Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.979$5.11
08-27 12:01Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.981$5.44
08-26 10:55Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.956$5.61
08-20 11:46Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?SELL0.3545538462$1.84