belissimo
0xc64f8d989a7811f07bb372a7f1ed888ebe88a5d6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.94
- Volume
- $331.71
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $15.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.976 | 0.965 | $5.19 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-09 House seat? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.966 | $5.14 | +$0.05 |
| Stripe IPO before 2027? · No | 0.971 | 0.958 | $4.90 | −$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.945Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
- +$0.09at 0.961Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$0.07at 0.967Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?
- +$0.04at 0.971Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.02at 0.966Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:31 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $5.34 |
| 10-26 00:58 | Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.90 |
| 10-13 01:52 | Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.957 | $5.43 |
| 10-06 00:01 | Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $4.86 |
| 09-17 20:38 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.53 |
| 09-14 22:31 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.14 |
| 09-12 23:47 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.963 | $5.31 |
| 09-12 23:47 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.946 | $3.38 |
| 08-31 16:20 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.979 | $5.11 |
| 08-27 12:01 | Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.981 | $5.44 |
| 08-26 10:55 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.956 | $5.61 |
| 08-20 11:46 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | SELL | 0.3545538462 | $1.84 |