0xc63cbfeb667d4255d2ee8b8afb841c2b6518bf4c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.24
- Volume
- $169.74
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $16.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 12, 2025? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $8.47 | +$3.47 |
| Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $5.88 | +$0.88 |
| EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.015 | $1.93 | −$3.07 |
| Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.60 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-08 20:04 | Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12? | BUY | 0.1184060338 | $2.60 |
| 12-08 20:03 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |
| 12-08 20:03 | EU dissolves before 2027? | BUY | 0.0374753381 | $5.00 |
| 12-08 20:03 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on December 12, 2025? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |