peterkit
0xc6352cce6c580b39eaf823297e3da797b8f253c2
- Realised P&L
- $0.11
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $20.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.435 | $6.53 | +$0.07 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by October 31? · No | 0.900 | 0.945 | $4.72 | +$0.23 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by October 31? · No | 0.850 | 0.790 | $3.95 | −$0.30 |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31? · No | 0.730 | 0.700 | $3.50 | −$0.15 |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.75B by October 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.395 | $1.98 | +$0.03 |
| Will Shedeur Sanders finish as a top-12 QB in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.040 | $0.20 | +$0.00 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.06at 0.587Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?
- +$0.26at 0.797Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$-0.15at 0.430Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$-1.03at 0.237Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $107.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $10.75B by October 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.6T by October 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-01 05:48 | Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $172.5B by October 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 09-13 00:04 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 23:57 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 06-28 00:30 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 06-27 23:02 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 17:05 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 17:05 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |