Orlando753951
0xc629548069e9a5e903bc763080c157588680649c
- Realised P&L
- $-95.23
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $170.73
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.850 | $170.29 | +$72.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.002 | $0.44 | −$99.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.91 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$99.38at 0.508Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17?
- +$66.42at 0.606Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?
- +$53.36at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
- +$53.23at 0.791Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?
- +$-20.05at 0.285Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 06:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.4899999995 | $98.17 |
| 10-19 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.4595404588 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.4952922472 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 02:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.0825551978 | $10.77 |
| 09-09 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.4599560888 | $60.00 |
| 08-06 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2876352396 | $27.92 |
| 08-05 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5936479668 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2464146666 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1600370553 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.0624983473 | $12.29 |
| 07-19 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.2542538591 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.3149023606 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.0041680067 | $0.69 |
| 07-19 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.7830919538 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.1819723107 | $33.12 |