Orlando753951
0xc629548069e9a5e903bc763080c157588680649c
- Realised P&L
- $-130.16
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $33.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.246 | 0.165 | $33.48 | −$16.52 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20? · Yes | 0.315 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.40at 0.783Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19?
- +$54.67at 0.478Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
- +$-16.88at 0.275Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19?
- +$-37.71at 0.254Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?
- +$-49.30at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2464146666 | $50.00 |
| 08-03 02:39 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1600370553 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.0624983473 | $12.29 |
| 07-19 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.2542538591 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20? | BUY | 0.3149023606 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 06:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.0041680067 | $0.69 |
| 07-19 06:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.7830919538 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19? | SELL | 0.1819723107 | $33.12 |
| 07-18 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.2746945457 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 19? | BUY | 0.299999997 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.18 |
| 07-10 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.2752394583 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 16:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.4777070044 | $50.00 |