Pangolin4173
0xc626b304c0057e206e9d5ef6782a4b2f869049f9
- Realised P&L
- $-113.31
- Volume
- $105.4k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evo Morales arrested by September 30? · No | 0.986 | 0.744 | $3.18 | −$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.964Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud?
- +$0.09at 0.979Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in January?
- +$0.08at 0.988Trump sentenced to prison in NY case before inauguration?
- +$0.07at 0.982Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?
- +$0.07at 0.983Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 01:29 | Evo Morales arrested by September 30? | BUY | 0.9859999995 | $4.22 |
| 07-28 09:50 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31? | BUY | 0.993999999 | $4.18 |
| 07-28 09:50 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | SELL | 0.963 | $3.45 |
| 06-01 09:49 | Will Venezuela become 51st state? | BUY | 0.967999913 | $3.47 |
| 06-01 09:49 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.05 |
| 05-09 17:11 | Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9759999063 | $4.00 |
| 04-02 10:58 | Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.9829999967 | $4.17 |
| 04-02 10:58 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.17 |
| 03-14 11:37 | Will annual inflation increase by 2.1% in March? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.15 |
| 02-21 04:01 | Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.9819999966 | $4.08 |
| 01-31 13:49 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in January? | BUY | 0.9789999978 | $3.99 |
| 01-31 13:48 | Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? | SELL | 0.987 | $4.00 |
| 01-10 03:37 | Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? | BUY | 0.964 | $3.91 |
| 12-17 00:52 | Will Elon Musk attend a UFC event by December 31? | BUY | 0.9959998679 | $3.89 |
| 12-11 07:06 | Will Absolum win Best Independent Game at the 2025 Game Awards? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.88 |