PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc61a6952040f1a7239743bc766ef20b5e775945e

0xc61a6952040f1a7239743bc766ef20b5e775945e

Realised P&L
$5.09
Volume
$215.11
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$6.53

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No0.5900.957$1.62+$0.62
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.7700.835$1.08+$0.08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No0.6600.650$0.98−$0.02
Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yes0.4600.425$0.92−$0.08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No0.4500.375$0.83−$0.17
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes0.2400.165$0.69−$0.31
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No0.4600.179$0.39−$0.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 22:37Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-11 14:16Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-10 14:52Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-10 04:54Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-10 04:46Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
10-07 04:23Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-06 20:23Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.3299998944$1.00
10-06 12:23Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
10-06 12:21Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-06 04:20Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.5899997404$1.00
10-05 17:57Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-05 09:41Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-05 00:44Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-03 02:10Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-02 13:49Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?BUY0.59999988$1.00