0xc61a6952040f1a7239743bc766ef20b5e775945e
0xc61a6952040f1a7239743bc766ef20b5e775945e
- Realised P&L
- $5.09
- Volume
- $215.11
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $6.53
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 0.957 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.835 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.650 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.425 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.375 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.165 | $0.69 | −$0.31 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No | 0.460 | 0.179 | $0.39 | −$0.61 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.46at 0.258Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.51at 0.227Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$3.15at 0.329Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 in September?
- +$2.87at 0.349Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:37 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:16 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 14:52 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:54 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699995842 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 04:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 10? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:23 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799996464 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:21 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997404 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:57 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 09:41 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:44 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:10 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:49 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |