Chakamanle
0xc61a43c378630bade4d1a8474433494d04104a7c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $328.3k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.123 | 0.055 | $1.6k | −$1.9k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.105 | $124.27 | −$155.16 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.766 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.5k |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.660Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.1kat 0.185Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.400Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
- +$-159.05at 0.220Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
- +$-627.64at 0.212Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 13:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.766 | $5.5k |
| 10-20 13:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $730.20 |
| 10-20 13:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2003622529 | $1.8k |
| 10-20 13:30 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $748.65 |
| 10-19 05:05 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.2001576774 | $1.0k |
| 10-19 05:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.2 | $3.9k |
| 10-19 04:55 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.7k |
| 10-16 21:54 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $45.15 |
| 10-16 20:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2199999999 | $308.41 |
| 10-16 20:16 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.22 | $314.93 |
| 10-16 19:51 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2122567059 | $1.0k |
| 10-16 18:37 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1916637436 | $1.1k |
| 10-16 17:19 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $385.64 |
| 10-16 17:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $352.60 |
| 10-16 17:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2018334784 | $5.9k |