PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

carragher14

0xc61a0bb8fea66b6eececa620861df4612b838e82

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$443.4k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$10.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.018$4.97$4.97
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.029$2.85$3.15
Will XRP reach $3.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.028$2.20$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April? · Yes0.0040.000$0.00$3.34
Will XRP reach $2.40 in April? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$6.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-04 16:38Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0359999933$5.00
04-23 11:49Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?SELL0.003$3.06
04-17 17:44Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06$6.00
04-17 17:09Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.038$4.94
04-16 15:53Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?BUY0.004$3.08
04-16 15:52Will XRP reach $2.40 in April?BUY0.009$1.54
04-16 15:51Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?BUY0.003$2.83
03-04 13:07Will XRP reach $3.00 in March?BUY0.0069627262$3.00
03-04 13:07Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in March?BUY0.01$3.00
03-04 13:06Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY0.006$2.00
02-09 16:56Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?BUY0.007$1.40
02-02 16:27Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?BUY0.005$5.00
01-31 19:55Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?SELL0.023$4.56
01-20 15:46Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?SELL0.00334676$2.51
01-20 15:46Will Ethereum reach $4,600 in January?SELL0.0042901951$5.42