DuisS
0xc61657c55c46d0138933e63633e024965b570d65
- Realised P&L
- $-126.13
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $6.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD0 depeg by December 31? · No | 0.930 | 0.940 | $6.06 | +$0.06 |
| UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats · Sam Houston Bearkats | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$124.00 |
| Will Trump sell shares of DJT before the election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.61at 0.808Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?
- +$0.36at 0.965Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?
- +$0.16at 0.650Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday?
- +$0.05at 0.990Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31?
- +$-0.01at 0.998Will a candidate from another party win Alaska Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 07:05 | USD0 depeg by December 31? | BUY | 0.93 | $6.00 |
| 10-15 14:48 | UTEP vs. Sam Houston Bearkats | BUY | 0.4499999989 | $124.00 |
| 10-15 14:47 | Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by October 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.99 |
| 08-13 09:35 | Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025? | BUY | 0.8079999947 | $11.00 |
| 10-16 05:47 | Will Trump sell shares of DJT before the election? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.15 |
| 10-12 11:23 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BUY | 0.9649999281 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 09:29 | Aces vs. Storm Series Winner | SELL | 0.91 | $0.96 |
| 09-23 09:29 | Will a Democrat win Wisconsin US Senate Election? | SELL | 0.8 | $0.97 |
| 09-23 09:28 | Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.5k |
| 09-23 09:18 | Aces vs. Storm Series Winner | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Kamala Silver Bulletin odds >60% on Friday? | BUY | 0.6499998917 | $0.30 |
| 09-23 09:18 | Will a candidate from another party win Arizona Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 09-23 09:17 | Will Nebraska switch to winner-take-all? | SELL | 0.82 | $0.98 |
| 09-23 09:17 | Will Biden finish his term? | SELL | 0.87 | $0.98 |
| 09-23 09:16 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.98 |