0xc60908d46b354191378c9951311ee29665b0ddf7
0xc60908d46b354191378c9951311ee29665b0ddf7
- Realised P&L
- $1.90
- Volume
- $18.64
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $4.83
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.880 | $2.73 | +$0.81 |
| Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.957 | $2.11 | +$0.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.04at 0.658Jets vs. Steelers
- +$0.70at 0.741Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
- +$0.10at 0.952Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianu
- +$0.06at 0.972Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22?
- +$-0.00at 1.000Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 09:25 | Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999773 | $1.96 |
| 08-22 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $3.42 |
| 08-22 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 22? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.97 |
| 08-22 07:26 | Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.619999916 | $1.92 |
| 08-22 00:20 | Jets vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.64 | $1.95 |
| 08-21 12:36 | Prague 2: Jan Kumstat vs Filip Jianu | BUY | 0.9399999905 | $1.97 |
| 08-21 06:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? | BUY | 0.7199999109 | $1.94 |