PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xC6040E944a2FC6DF43Bf2D8B33f74bfec1288F83-1791569708891

0xc6040e944a2fc6df43bf2d8b33f74bfec1288f83

Realised P&L
$-8.50
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$163.36

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20? · No0.5690.995$78.64+$33.64
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19? · No0.7401.000$60.78+$15.78
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 21? · No0.5690.615$23.94+$1.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 08:08Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 21?BUY0.568540747$22.13
10-19 12:19Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20?BUY0.5693673676$45.00
10-18 21:08Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19?BUY0.7399999977$45.00
10-17 15:102026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.62$0.99
10-17 15:082026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6299998362$1.00
10-16 06:16Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 17?BUY0.5899999957$45.00
10-15 14:56Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15?SELL0.999$40.62
10-15 14:53Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 16?SELL0.6268731343$33.60
10-15 00:31Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 16?BUY0.8388157873$45.00
10-14 13:20Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15?BUY0.7377041682$30.00
10-14 12:18Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 14?SELL0.9145086228$36.59
10-14 12:18Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 15?BUY0.6888519077$30.00
10-14 12:18Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?SELL0.999$54.49
10-13 05:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?SELL0.54$0.98
10-13 05:15Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?BUY0.549999945$1.00