0xC6040E944a2FC6DF43Bf2D8B33f74bfec1288F83-1791569708891
0xc6040e944a2fc6df43bf2d8b33f74bfec1288f83
- Realised P&L
- $-8.50
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $163.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20? · No | 0.569 | 0.995 | $78.64 | +$33.64 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19? · No | 0.740 | 1.000 | $60.78 | +$15.78 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 21? · No | 0.569 | 0.615 | $23.94 | +$1.81 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.35at 0.602Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 17?
- +$21.57at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14?
- +$15.01at 0.604Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 14?
- +$8.61at 0.747Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15?
- +$0.43at 0.701Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 08:08 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 9°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.568540747 | $22.13 |
| 10-19 12:19 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5693673676 | $45.00 |
| 10-18 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.7399999977 | $45.00 |
| 10-17 15:10 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.62 | $0.99 |
| 10-17 15:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $45.00 |
| 10-15 14:56 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $40.62 |
| 10-15 14:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.6268731343 | $33.60 |
| 10-15 00:31 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.8388157873 | $45.00 |
| 10-14 13:20 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.7377041682 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.9145086228 | $36.59 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.6888519077 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 12:18 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $54.49 |
| 10-13 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.98 |
| 10-13 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |