Larsinho
0xc602bc7760d72adff1588289aba700bc40e2d765
- Realised P&L
- $-114.87
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $60.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.20at 0.228Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$53.64at 0.276Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$50.55at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 22?
- +$49.65at 0.457Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$36.63at 0.239Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-04 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-04 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-04 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-04 08:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-03 17:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-03 17:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-03 17:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-03 17:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-03 17:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-03 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.60 |
| 10-03 16:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-03 16:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-03 16:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 08-19 15:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 22? | BUY | 0.892 | $4.86 |