PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nitum

0xc601bea662a62f49fa5a0803271ac27e568836aa

Realised P&L
$100.79
Volume
$1.7k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$52.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 00:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$15.00
08-30 00:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.826$22.21
08-29 23:58Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.485$9.70
08-29 23:53Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.42$4.20
06-08 22:22Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$13.00
05-05 11:36Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$8.90
05-05 11:28Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.11$4.51
04-19 06:54Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.09$5.40
03-26 09:03Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.367$7.34
03-13 00:53Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7249999964$5.00
03-13 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSELL0.71$3.49
03-13 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.4090000454$1.99
01-28 21:39Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
10-08 07:38Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?SELL0.26$3.90
10-08 07:37Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?SELL0.64$9.60