PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc601bea662a62f49fa5a0803271ac27e568836aa

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$32.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration87.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1150.115$18.40+$0.00
Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8900.950$9.49+$0.59
Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.067$3.35−$2.15
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.4200.165$1.65−$2.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 00:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$15.00
08-30 00:00Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.826$22.21
08-29 23:58Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.485$9.70
08-29 23:53Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.42$4.20
06-08 22:22Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.13$13.00
05-05 11:36Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.89$8.90
05-05 11:28Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.11$4.51
04-19 06:54Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.09$5.40
03-26 09:03Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.367$7.34
03-13 00:53Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7249999964$5.00
03-13 00:46Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSELL0.71$3.49
03-13 00:45Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.4090000454$1.99
01-28 21:39Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
10-08 07:38Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?SELL0.26$3.90
10-08 07:37Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?SELL0.64$9.60