nitum
0xc601bea662a62f49fa5a0803271ac27e568836aa
- Realised P&L
- $100.79
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $52.17
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.125 | $20.00 | +$1.60 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.785 | $15.70 | +$0.70 |
| Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.890 | 0.957 | $9.57 | +$0.67 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.420 | 0.365 | $3.65 | −$0.55 |
| Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.065 | $3.25 | −$2.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$95.56at 0.090Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
- +$3.35at 0.478Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$2.16at 0.367Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$1.90at 0.810Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
- +$1.66at 0.758Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 00:07 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-30 00:00 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.826 | $22.21 |
| 08-29 23:58 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.485 | $9.70 |
| 08-29 23:53 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 06-08 22:22 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 05-05 11:36 | Will Jean Castex be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 05-05 11:28 | Will Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.51 |
| 04-19 06:54 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.09 | $5.40 |
| 03-26 09:03 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.367 | $7.34 |
| 03-13 00:53 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7249999964 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 00:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | SELL | 0.71 | $3.49 |
| 03-13 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.4090000454 | $1.99 |
| 01-28 21:39 | Will Jean-Michel Aulas win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 07:38 | Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.90 |
| 10-08 07:37 | Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.64 | $9.60 |