Krip.
0xc5ef8585a888081803fc8fb68b6abc1e2f12be38
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $810.7k
- Markets traded
- 217
- Open portfolio
- $9.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded217
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.809 | 1.000 | $3.9k | +$747.42 |
| 50m views on a MrBeast video in the first day by March 31? · No | 0.597 | 1.000 | $3.5k | +$1.4k |
| Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.818 | 1.000 | $1.2k | +$217.29 |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.850 | 1.000 | $806.47 | +$121.30 |
| Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.698 | 1.000 | $30.04 | +$9.09 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? · No | 0.730 | 0.310 | $13.26 | −$17.96 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.034 | 0.002 | $5.30 | −$115.12 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.005 | $1.83 | −$196.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.453Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$4.9kat 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
- +$4.7kat 0.570Timberwolves vs. Raptors
- +$4.3kat 0.396Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m?
- +$3.8kat 0.56076ers vs. Lakers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 00:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $420.65 |
| 02-09 00:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.34 | $438.46 |
| 02-09 00:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $738.91 |
| 02-08 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $1.2k |
| 02-08 19:45 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | BUY | 0.1429001 | $714.50 |
| 02-07 20:22 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | BUY | 0.45 | $0.11 |
| 02-07 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.47 | $260.55 |
| 02-04 20:34 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | BUY | 0.3857378218 | $156.87 |
| 02-04 19:02 | Will "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 5m? | BUY | 0.35 | $492.44 |
| 02-04 18:30 | Will "Solo Mio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5.5m and 7m? | BUY | 0.5 | $98.02 |
| 01-30 05:44 | Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 05:30 | Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 11m? | BUY | 0.9083112 | $454.16 |
| 01-30 05:13 | Will "Iron Lung" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 15m? | BUY | 0.2200485095 | $81.20 |
| 01-30 02:21 | Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m? | BUY | 0.1656114973 | $61.94 |
| 01-29 22:10 | Will "Send Help" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m? | BUY | 0.26 | $68.90 |