peipeipei
0xc5e6250906f3a43348374632092a64ee2cf22d79
- Realised P&L
- $-122.5k
- Volume
- $15.76M
- Markets traded
- 27,614
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded27,614
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1? · No | 0.936 | 0.930 | $565.72 | −$3.48 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.926 | 0.958 | $478.98 | +$15.70 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.995 | $402.74 | +$2.93 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1? · No | 0.540 | 0.435 | $87.00 | −$21.00 |
| XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.995 | $29.54 | +$0.16 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET · Down | 0.990 | 0.995 | $9.95 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.686Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 5PM ET
- +$951.27at 0.737Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 3PM ET
- +$934.07at 0.746Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
- +$916.62at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
- +$747.19at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:39 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $28.40 |
| 10-01 06:39 | XRP Up or Down - October 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $0.98 |
| 10-01 06:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 10-01 06:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8691418977 | $200.00 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $342.35 |
| 10-01 06:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | BUY | 0.403094486 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $22.00 |
| 10-01 06:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $120.83 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.93 | $247.68 |
| 10-01 06:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.708125 | $283.25 |
| 10-01 06:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7466353333 | $223.99 |
| 10-01 06:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $204.00 |
| 10-01 06:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $294.00 |
| 10-01 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | SELL | 0.62 | $258.30 |
| 10-01 06:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4800584684 | $200.00 |