ojoyce
0xc5dfb06aff5a468d337f3b19f99131ef5f4c00b4
- Realised P&L
- $-45.43
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $53.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $22.75 | −$0.12 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 1? · No | 0.730 | 0.680 | $22.24 | −$1.64 |
| Florida vs. Missouri · Florida | 0.660 | 0.665 | $8.71 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.79at 0.998Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$2.65at 0.890Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 13?
- +$0.48at 0.989Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.990Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?
- +$0.20at 0.992Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:57 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.997 | $7.04 |
| 01-31 13:50 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.38 |
| 01-30 14:42 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $10.04 |
| 01-30 13:08 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.05 |
| 01-30 12:17 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $43.36 |
| 12-30 11:05 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.88 |
| 12-30 08:07 | Will XRP reach $6.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.19 |
| 12-29 19:40 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.41 |
| 12-29 19:04 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $18.80 |
| 10-30 21:35 | Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be less than 1.0%? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.21 |
| 10-30 18:12 | Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.47 |
| 09-29 18:29 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 09-29 18:12 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.16 |
| 09-29 15:24 | Will Mistral AI have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.74 |
| 09-29 03:09 | Will Ethereum dip to $2000 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.52 |