0xc5db3e9f7c48b13dc3f4248f3a5e3c303b51e02b
0xc5db3e9f7c48b13dc3f4248f3a5e3c303b51e02b
- Realised P&L
- $-13.66
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $60.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.040 | $60.04 | −$100.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.43at 0.521Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
- +$-10.23at 0.529Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 18:12 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1080333984 | $141.62 |
| 09-08 18:01 | Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0989484753 | $18.82 |
| 04-24 19:31 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5026723712 | $3.18 |
| 04-23 16:55 | Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.509999989 | $9.51 |