sqwizard
0xc5da9f332dec1d63222f54322f35caa648687f6d
- Realised P&L
- $-77.20
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $9.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration91.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.170 | $8.31 | +$3.91 |
| Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.003 | $0.78 | −$14.22 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes | 0.078 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.90 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-11 00:16 | Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? | BUY | 0.0780934271 | $20.00 |
| 12-11 00:11 | Will Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship? | BUY | 0.008031746 | $6.90 |
| 12-11 00:08 | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.011369348 | $20.00 |
| 12-11 00:07 | Will Powell say "Again" 10+ times during December press conference? | BUY | 0.0238653697 | $10.00 |
| 12-11 00:05 | Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.089999983 | $4.40 |
| 12-11 00:05 | Will the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.0477937776 | $15.00 |
| 12-10 23:50 | Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | BUY | 0.0127118632 | $10.00 |