PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TheObserver.

0xc5d8dc36535e2d965a548a7b0dda562aa25e6fcf

Realised P&L
$-520.30
Volume
$31.1k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$116.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample47 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes0.3900.405$98.42+$3.65
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.165$18.52−$1.68
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$73.67
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$27.84
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$28.75
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00−$47.17
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$10.26
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$24.85
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5? · Yes0.1030.000$0.00−$10.30
Will CS Cienciano vs. Club Alianza Lima end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will PSG win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · No0.0440.000$0.00−$6.33
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$34.20
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$18.48
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 02:16Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?BUY0.18$20.20
10-15 02:14Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?BUY0.39$94.77
09-20 13:40Will NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw?BUY0.24$26.56
09-12 15:57Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.2682758621$62.24
09-08 18:55Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?BUY0.21$48.82
08-29 06:41Will De Graafschap vs. Almere City FC end in a draw?BUY0.23$26.68
08-28 14:54Will FC Volendam vs. FC Dordrecht end in a draw?BUY0.25$30.13
08-23 19:43Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30?BUY0.35$40.95
08-14 06:13Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?BUY0.17$19.62
08-09 13:52Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?BUY0.27$31.05
08-05 17:52Will Helmond Sport win on 2026-08-09?BUY0.26$30.04
07-14 11:35Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?BUY0.3$34.20
07-06 12:45Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?BUY0.01$0.09
07-06 12:45Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?BUY0.024$7.20
07-06 12:44Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12?BUY0.05$0.53