TheObserver.
0xc5d8dc36535e2d965a548a7b0dda562aa25e6fcf
- Realised P&L
- $-520.30
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $116.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$167.48at 0.278Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20?
- +$108.25at 0.459Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?
- +$89.80at 0.235Will Minnesota United FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?
- +$88.98at 0.235Will San Diego FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?
- +$86.12at 0.256Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:16 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.18 | $20.20 |
| 10-15 02:14 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.39 | $94.77 |
| 09-20 13:40 | Will NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $26.56 |
| 09-12 15:57 | Will FC Twente win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.2682758621 | $62.24 |
| 09-08 18:55 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | BUY | 0.21 | $48.82 |
| 08-29 06:41 | Will De Graafschap vs. Almere City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.23 | $26.68 |
| 08-28 14:54 | Will FC Volendam vs. FC Dordrecht end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.13 |
| 08-23 19:43 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.35 | $40.95 |
| 08-14 06:13 | Will Elche CF vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | BUY | 0.17 | $19.62 |
| 08-09 13:52 | Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.27 | $31.05 |
| 08-05 17:52 | Will Helmond Sport win on 2026-08-09? | BUY | 0.26 | $30.04 |
| 07-14 11:35 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $34.20 |
| 07-06 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.09 |
| 07-06 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.024 | $7.20 |
| 07-06 12:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.53 |