jonrojas
0xc5caa41bed452d09d5d50e98699aaf04e104eb95
- Realised P&L
- $1.06
- Volume
- $22.1k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $30.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 in October? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.545 | $19.74 | −$5.98 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 19? · No | 0.850 | 1.000 | $11.20 | +$1.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.44at 0.539Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?
- +$22.49at 0.608Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes?
- +$20.01at 0.630Ethereum all time high in 2024?
- +$10.40at 0.840Texans vs. Chiefs
- +$7.65at 0.670Villena: Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Glinka
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:18 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.9989999814 | $10.79 |
| 01-30 16:40 | Will Ethena hit $0.29 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.97 |
| 01-30 16:01 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $8.29 |
| 01-30 15:28 | Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $21.91 |
| 01-30 12:15 | Will Chainlink hit $17 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.44 |
| 12-30 10:30 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.86 |
| 12-29 23:35 | Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.57 |
| 12-29 23:25 | Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.56 |
| 12-29 20:08 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.996999984 | $43.68 |
| 10-31 00:48 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.21 |
| 10-30 22:55 | Will XRP reach $3.40 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.03 |
| 10-30 18:51 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.94 |
| 09-29 09:14 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.60 |
| 09-29 02:48 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.87 |
| 09-29 01:34 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.94 |