PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

davidlecea

0xc5c93ddf68782595de74d112efdd3ea62d392c4a

Realised P&L
$-218.90
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$51.67

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration41.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration77.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.961$39.94+$2.12
Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027? · Yes0.4980.101$11.74$46.38
Astronomer Divorce Parlay · Yes0.0980.000$0.00$4.87
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31? · No0.6690.000$0.00$292.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-04 16:23Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?BUY0.498$19.92
01-04 16:06Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?SELL0.975$41.92
12-07 14:08Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?SELL0.959$57.54
12-07 14:02Wealthfront IPO in 2025?SELL0.018$0.15
07-18 09:39Astronomer Divorce ParlayBUY0.0980825976$4.87
07-18 09:38Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?SELL0.974$4.87
06-10 19:22Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.901$110.82
06-10 19:21Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.85$51.00
06-10 19:10Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.51$20.90
06-10 18:41Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?SELL0.9$288.23
06-08 10:20Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?BUY0.93$226.07
06-06 18:22Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?BUY0.8$0.89
06-06 06:14Apple announces iPhone assembly in the U.S. before September?BUY0.956$4.78
06-05 07:33Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?SELL0.9796739327$292.58
06-01 06:34Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?BUY0.9457629266$282.46