0xc5bf03a3e11cedadcfe2b2304a3974940d6e6271
0xc5bf03a3e11cedadcfe2b2304a3974940d6e6271
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $41.7k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.69at 0.744Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$104.36at 0.732Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
- +$71.30at 0.972Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
- +$58.63at 0.495Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$57.44at 0.898Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 01:01 | Manchester City punishment announced by November 6? | BUY | 0.927 | $100.00 |
| 10-29 01:01 | Manchester City punishment announced by November 20? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 21:02 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 17:25 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.2099999996 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 17:24 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.7299999966 | $100.00 |
| 10-28 17:23 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 19:13 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 19:13 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 04:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 22? | BUY | 0.4368052067 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 04:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 04:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.6651312378 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 04:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9099999991 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 02:55 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.829999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-27 02:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9100365465 | $31.00 |