0xc5b0186cf7b3463cf0e5553a16d8cb74233e27eb
0xc5b0186cf7b3463cf0e5553a16d8cb74233e27eb
- Realised P&L
- $-78.46
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 239
- Open portfolio
- $4.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded239
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.40at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14?
- +$6.27at 0.363Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 23?
- +$5.54at 0.480Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5
- +$5.27at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 24?
- +$3.75at 0.625Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-01 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.49 |
| 07-31 22:59 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.20 |
| 07-31 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.50 |
| 07-31 19:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.44 | $2.42 |
| 07-30 08:54 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30? | SELL | 0.39 | $6.39 |
| 07-30 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.3699999578 | $2.89 |
| 07-29 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.6899999963 | $1.89 |
| 07-29 11:06 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.93 |
| 07-28 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.00 |
| 07-26 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26? | SELL | 0.69 | $5.52 |
| 07-26 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 26? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.48 |
| 07-25 07:32 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 25? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.20 |
| 07-25 04:27 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.3 | $2.40 |