v3462wt4dfsg4
0xc5ace75de0ea968f53f6e6f9fb3e740271b1d408
- Realised P&L
- $-323.18
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $1.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $1.41 | −$3.29 |
| Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 2? · Down | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$365.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.00at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET
- +$0.42at 0.987Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 27?
- +$0.28at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 16?
- +$0.27at 0.992Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 14?
- +$0.25at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 05:32 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999931 | $12.90 |
| 08-12 05:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999978 | $31.90 |
| 08-11 05:29 | Will XRP reach $1.20 on August 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 08-11 05:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.50 |
| 08-10 06:25 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.50 |
| 08-10 06:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.9979999956 | $32.40 |
| 08-06 06:20 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9959999897 | $13.50 |
| 08-06 06:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9979999762 | $31.50 |
| 07-31 06:13 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-31 06:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.90 |
| 07-30 06:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30? | BUY | 0.996999959 | $11.80 |
| 07-30 06:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.60 |
| 07-29 05:26 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.60 |
| 07-29 05:26 | Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.50 |
| 07-27 07:45 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |