ResourceRe1
0xc5a44745c69f688ef438643a9d9c49679baa8044
- Realised P&L
- $327.99
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.529 | 0.785 | $768.07 | +$250.64 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.934 | $426.56 | +$93.56 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.647 | 0.935 | $395.04 | +$121.59 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.739 | 0.951 | $385.93 | +$85.93 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.556 | $278.00 | +$18.00 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.247 | $212.91 | −$68.99 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.187 | 0.199 | $205.37 | +$12.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.40at 0.880Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$20.00at 0.650Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch
- +$11.85at 0.845Squid FDV above $50M one day after launch
- +$-0.51at 0.073Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch?
- +$-10.04at 0.750Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 04:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2227096774 | $13.81 |
| 10-29 12:20 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.15 | $20.89 |
| 10-29 11:47 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.86 |
| 10-29 03:11 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.051 | $1.02 |
| 10-29 01:59 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-29 01:17 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.06875 | $1.38 |
| 10-27 15:52 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $54.75 |
| 10-08 01:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.251 | $25.10 |
| 10-07 15:00 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.62 | $27.90 |
| 10-07 14:46 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7328546661 | $200.00 |
| 10-07 14:42 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3788863333 | $100.00 |
| 10-07 14:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.49 | $50.69 |
| 10-07 14:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2059999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-06 03:26 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7392607389 | $300.00 |
| 09-10 02:02 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $90.00 |