0xc59DD6431eB8a80921f4cc1CBF1A6d5cB1823eac-1762455740294
0xc59dd6431eb8a80921f4cc1cbf1a6d5cb1823eac
- Realised P&L
- $62.49
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $33.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.605 | $30.25 | +$1.75 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.355 | $3.55 | −$0.05 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · No | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.113 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.52 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes | 0.106 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.28 |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.21 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.32at 0.057Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?
- +$9.68at 0.744Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$8.30at 0.585Will turnout in the second round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election be between 84% and 86%?
- +$7.20at 0.410Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
- +$6.60at 0.670Will Johannes Kaiser win at least 19% of votes in the first round?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 18:51 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 09-25 15:25 | Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 09-12 16:27 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.04 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 16:27 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 08-27 20:16 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 20:16 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 08-26 16:14 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 08-19 15:51 | Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 20:24 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 08-09 01:02 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 08-05 18:11 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.17 | $5.32 |
| 08-05 15:16 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.303 | $15.15 |
| 08-05 13:43 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.3466973395 | $17.33 |
| 08-05 13:30 | Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.323 | $3.23 |
| 07-13 14:47 | Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal? | BUY | 0.063 | $1.88 |