PolyBot

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Traders

0xc59607408e899e6101E803491CA2408AE93E104D-1769718694315

0xc59607408e899e6101e803491ca2408ae93e104d

Realised P&L
$5.27
Volume
$460.83
Markets traded
68
Open portfolio
$98.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded68
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US forces enter Iran by December 31? · Yes0.4801.000$10.42+$5.42
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · Yes0.6301.000$7.94+$2.94
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? · Yes0.4401.000$6.82+$3.82
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? · Yes0.3500.215$6.14$3.86
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.4671.000$4.29+$2.29
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026? · Yes0.2601.000$3.85+$2.85
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? · Yes0.2701.000$3.70+$2.70
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? · Yes0.1500.055$3.67$6.33
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.5821.000$3.44+$1.44
Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.3001.000$3.33+$2.33
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · Yes0.3301.000$3.03+$2.03
US strikes Iran by March 9, 2026? · Yes0.4301.000$2.33+$1.33
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? · Yes0.4601.000$2.17+$1.17
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3750.766$2.04+$1.04
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9? · Yes0.4901.000$2.04+$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:08Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?BUY0.3499999948$10.00
09-23 20:08Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?BUY0.1499999993$10.00
03-27 23:41Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
03-27 23:41Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
03-27 23:41Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
03-27 23:40Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?BUY0.7$1.00
03-27 23:32Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
03-27 23:29Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
03-27 23:27Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?BUY0.719999856$1.00
03-27 23:27Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
03-27 23:26US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?BUY0.65$1.00
03-27 23:25Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.74$1.00
03-27 23:24Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
03-03 23:48Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.8159999804$1.00
03-03 23:35Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?BUY0.702$1.00