0xc59607408e899e6101E803491CA2408AE93E104D-1769718694315
0xc59607408e899e6101e803491ca2408ae93e104d
- Realised P&L
- $5.27
- Volume
- $460.83
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $98.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.90at 0.635Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.610Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 20:08 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-23 20:08 | Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 03-27 23:41 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:41 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:41 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:40 | Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:32 | Will Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia occur by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:29 | Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:27 | Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:27 | Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:26 | US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:25 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 03-27 23:24 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 23:48 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.8159999804 | $1.00 |
| 03-03 23:35 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | BUY | 0.702 | $1.00 |