0xc5934f46b93babee964039d7b17e055a1ee161a0
0xc5934f46b93babee964039d7b17e055a1ee161a0
- Realised P&L
- $-206.90
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $204.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.785 | $155.79 | +$0.99 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.325 | $29.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.145 | $9.67 | −$0.33 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.285 | $9.50 | −$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.91at 0.396Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$25.63at 0.646Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-18?
- +$14.26at 0.574Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$12.70at 0.438Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$5.53at 0.491Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 20:19 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 19:12 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.609999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:37 | Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 18:32 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-19? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.29 |
| 10-19 18:09 | Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 16:55 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-19? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 06:31 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.7799999996 | $154.80 |
| 10-19 06:26 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 06:18 | Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 06:17 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $30.00 |
| 10-19 05:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 20:40 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.97 |
| 10-18 20:38 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 20:37 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.18 | $27.09 |
| 10-18 20:29 | Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |