TheonTG
0xc5905ebbcbb800bab8dde8f08e812213aa4fc4c1
- Realised P&L
- $-45.21
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $72.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.013 | $72.93 | −$115.07 |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.23at 0.660US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$-64.81at 0.022Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 21:43 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0348021221 | $188.00 |
| 07-08 22:38 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.021999994 | $3.53 |
| 07-07 01:40 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.14 |
| 06-16 17:19 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0209999997 | $65.92 |
| 01-12 22:52 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.659999998 | $45.09 |