0xC58FB1AC447Ef901B60E1Ac447C49Ab4f28aE0aa-1787056656324
0xc58fb1ac447ef901b60e1ac447c49ab4f28ae0aa
- Realised P&L
- $8.1k
- Volume
- $276.5k
- Markets traded
- 366
- Open portfolio
- $3.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded366
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.181Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1?
- +$1.9kat 0.199Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?
- +$1.7kat 0.371Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$1.3kat 0.910Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$1.2kat 0.200Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:09 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.9985624402 | $354.71 |
| 10-11 16:08 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.999 | $591.44 |
| 10-11 14:33 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1473596958 | $28.00 |
| 10-11 14:04 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2891251062 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 14:04 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.2840074416 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 11:53 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.236573734 | $39.29 |
| 10-11 11:50 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 11:50 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 11:50 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 11:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 11:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 11:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 11:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $12.29 |
| 10-11 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5427631508 | $15.00 |